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Verified Track Record

Every call, on the record.

Every prediction is logged before the game starts. No editing. No deleting. No cherry-picking. This is the public ledger β€” every row timestamped, outcomes shown as they get graded.

Total Picks

1,124

Logged & timestamped

Win Rate

63%

258W / 154L / 54P

Graded

466

Results decided

Pending

658

Awaiting outcome

Closing line value

Did the market move toward our pick between the moment we logged it and kickoff? Beating the closing line is the standard test of a sharp bettor β€” it shows up long before win rate does. No-vig moneyline probability, pick time vs. last line before start. Soccer excluded (no draw price).

48.3%

beat the close

+0.09

avg CLV (pts)

470

picks measured

63%

Win Rate

258 wins out of 466 graded picks

Above the break-even threshold. The edge is real β€” not guaranteed, but statistically meaningful over a large sample.

Average confidence on recent picks: 65%

By Sport

Win rate across different categories

Tennis

67%

143W / 71L Β· 214 picks

Football

62%

63W / 38L Β· 101 picks

Baseball

8%

4W / 45L Β· 49 picks

Soccer

39%

15W / 23L Β· 38 picks

Basketball

50%

18W / 18L Β· 36 picks

Hockey

54%

15W / 13L Β· 28 picks

Recent Picks

Last 20 logged predictions β€” pending until the result is graded

PredictionResult

Besiktas @ Hoffenheim

Besiktas (Slight lean) β€” Slight lean to Besiktas. Vegas line implies ~36% for Besiktas β€’ Besiktas carrying a 1-0 record

Pending

Hapoel Beer Sheva @ AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar (Strong favorite) β€” AZ Alkmaar is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~86% for AZ Alkmaar β€’ Home edge in soccer

Pending

AC Milan @ Salzburg

Salzburg (Slight lean) β€” Slight lean to Salzburg. Vegas line implies ~36% for Salzburg β€’ Salzburg carrying a 1-0 record

Pending

Sturm Graz @ AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth (Strong favorite) β€” AFC Bournemouth is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~90% for AFC Bournemouth β€’ Home edge in soccer

Pending

Real Sociedad @ Union St.Gilloise

Union St.Gilloise (Strong favorite) β€” Union St.Gilloise is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~52% for Union St.Gilloise β€’ Union St.Gilloise carrying a 1-0 record

Pending

Winnipeg Jets @ Chicago Blackhawks

Winnipeg Jets (Likely) β€” Winnipeg Jets shows a 2 pt edge over the no-vig market.

Pending

OFI Crete @ Rennes

Rennes (Strong favorite) β€” Rennes is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~89% for Rennes β€’ Home edge in soccer

Pending

Lillestroem @ Sparta Prague

Sparta Prague (Strong favorite) β€” Sparta Prague is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~84% for Sparta Prague β€’ Sparta Prague carrying a 1-0 record

Pending

Bodo/Glimt @ Napoli

Napoli (Strong favorite) β€” Napoli is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~76% for Napoli β€’ Napoli carrying a 0-0-2 record

Pending

Slovan Bratislava @ AS Roma

AS Roma (Strong favorite) β€” AS Roma is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~94% for AS Roma β€’ AS Roma carrying a 0-1-1 record

Pending

PSV Eindhoven @ FC Porto

FC Porto (Strong favorite) β€” FC Porto is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~71% for FC Porto β€’ FC Porto carrying a 0-0-2 record

Pending

Lens @ Club Brugge

Club Brugge (Likely) β€” Club Brugge is the likelier winner. Vegas line implies ~61% for Club Brugge β€’ Club Brugge carrying a 1-0-1 record

Pending

Feyenoord Rotterdam @ Real Betis

Real Betis (Strong favorite) β€” Real Betis is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~78% for Real Betis β€’ Real Betis carrying a 2-0-0 record

Pending

Columbus Crew @ FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati (Slight lean) β€” Slight lean to FC Cincinnati. Vegas line implies ~59% for FC Cincinnati β€’ FC Cincinnati carrying a 9-9-10 record

Pending

LASK Linz @ Sporting CP

Sporting CP (Strong favorite) β€” Sporting CP is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~87% for Sporting CP β€’ Sporting CP carrying a 2-0-0 record

Pending

Slavia Prague @ Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce (Likely) β€” Fenerbahce is the likelier winner. Vegas line implies ~75% for Fenerbahce β€’ Fenerbahce carrying a 0-1-1 record

Pending

Toronto FC @ Red Bull New York

Red Bull New York (Likely) β€” Red Bull New York is the likelier winner. Vegas line implies ~61% for Red Bull New York β€’ Red Bull New York carrying a 10-6-13 record

Pending

Vancouver Whitecaps @ Austin FC

Vancouver Whitecaps (Strong favorite) β€” Vancouver Whitecaps is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~74% for Vancouver Whitecaps β€’ Vancouver Whitecaps carrying a 15-7 record

Pending

DC United @ Orlando City

Orlando City (Likely) β€” Orlando City is the likelier winner. Vegas line implies ~68% for Orlando City β€’ Orlando City carrying a 11-13 record

Pending

Inter Miami CF @ Atlanta United

Inter Miami CF (Strong favorite) β€” Inter Miami CF is a strong favorite. Vegas line implies ~65% for Inter Miami CF β€’ Inter Miami CF carrying a 14-5 record

Pending

How We Grade

Logged Before

Every prediction is written to the database with a timestamp BEFORE the event starts. No retroactive editing.

Graded Automatically

Results are matched against final scores. Win, loss, or push β€” determined by the actual outcome, not our opinion.

Public Forever

Once logged, predictions cannot be deleted or modified. The record is append-only. This is the receipts page.