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UPCOMING · 22
⚾ MLB Fri, Aug 28, 6:21 PM CHI Chicago Cubs
vs CIN Cincinnati Reds
Pick Chicago Cubs
Strong edge PASS
Chicago Cubs is a pass right now. The model edge is too small against the no-vig market.
No-vig market 64% Sportsbook baseline after removing two-way vig. Model probability 62% Transparent baseline using market price plus available team/context inputs. Estimated edge -1 pts Model probability minus no-vig market probability. Model vs Vegas -1% We're 1% below the market on this pick.
Open prediction → 🏈 NFL Fri, Aug 28, 10:00 PM BAL Baltimore Ravens
vs WAS Washington Commanders
Pick Baltimore Ravens
Playable PASS
Baltimore Ravens is a pass right now. The model edge is too small against the no-vig market.
No-vig market 58% Sportsbook baseline after removing two-way vig. Model probability 56% Transparent baseline using market price plus available team/context inputs. Estimated edge -2 pts Model probability minus no-vig market probability. Model vs Vegas -2% We're 2% below the market on this pick.
Open prediction → ⚾ MLB Fri, Aug 28, 10:41 PM DET Detroit Tigers
vs LOS Los Angeles Dodgers
Pick Los Angeles Dodgers
Strong edge PASS
Los Angeles Dodgers is a pass right now. The model edge is too small against the no-vig market.
No-vig market 66% Sportsbook baseline after removing two-way vig. Model probability 67% Transparent baseline using market price plus available team/context inputs. Estimated edge 1 pts Model probability minus no-vig market probability. Model vs Vegas +1% We rate Los Angeles Dodgers 1% higher than the market.
Open prediction → ⚾ MLB Fri, Aug 28, 10:46 PM WAS Washington Nationals
vs MIA Miami Marlins
Pick Miami Marlins
Playable PASS
Miami Marlins is a pass right now. The model edge is too small against the no-vig market.
No-vig market 58% Sportsbook baseline after removing two-way vig. Model probability 59% Transparent baseline using market price plus available team/context inputs. Estimated edge 1 pts Model probability minus no-vig market probability. Model vs Vegas +1% We rate Miami Marlins 1% higher than the market.
Open prediction → 🏈 NFL Fri, Aug 28, 11:00 PM CAR Carolina Panthers
vs HOU Houston Texans
Pick Houston Texans
Lean LEAN
Houston Texans shows a 2 pt edge over the no-vig market.
No-vig market 50% Sportsbook baseline after removing two-way vig. Model probability 53% Transparent baseline using market price plus available team/context inputs. Estimated edge 2 pts Model probability minus no-vig market probability. Model vs Vegas +2% We rate Houston Texans 2% higher than the market.
Open prediction → 🏈 NFL Fri, Aug 28, 11:00 PM MIA Miami Dolphins
vs ATL Atlanta Falcons
Pick Atlanta Falcons
Strong edge LEAN
Atlanta Falcons shows a 2 pt edge over the no-vig market.
No-vig market 62% Sportsbook baseline after removing two-way vig. Model probability 64% Transparent baseline using market price plus available team/context inputs. Estimated edge 2 pts Model probability minus no-vig market probability. Model vs Vegas +2% We rate Atlanta Falcons 2% higher than the market.
Open prediction → ⚾ MLB Fri, Aug 28, 11:11 PM TAM Tampa Bay Rays
vs SAN San Diego Padres
Pick Tampa Bay Rays
Lean PASS
Tampa Bay Rays is a pass right now. The model edge is too small against the no-vig market.
No-vig market 55% Sportsbook baseline after removing two-way vig. Model probability 53% Transparent baseline using market price plus available team/context inputs. Estimated edge -1 pts Model probability minus no-vig market probability. Model vs Vegas -1% We're 1% below the market on this pick.
Open prediction → ⚾ MLB Fri, Aug 28, 11:16 PM NEW New York Yankees
vs BOS Boston Red Sox
Pick New York Yankees
Playable PASS
New York Yankees is a pass right now. The model edge is too small against the no-vig market.
No-vig market 61% Sportsbook baseline after removing two-way vig. Model probability 59% Transparent baseline using market price plus available team/context inputs. Estimated edge -1 pts Model probability minus no-vig market probability. Model vs Vegas -1% We're 1% below the market on this pick.
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